Trump's Impact on European Voting: A Misguided Misconception
European voting patterns remain unaffected by Trump's presidency, according to a recent study.
It seems the old adage "What happens in America, stays in America" might ring true when it comes to the European Union (EU). According to a recent study by the European Policy Centre, Donald Trump's presidency appears to have little to no impact on voting patterns across the continent—busting the myth that his victory would spark a swing to the right among European voters.
Initially, analysts and pundits sounded alarms about Trump's win, predicting a crest of right-wing leaders and movements, buoyed by his stance on hot-button issues like immigration and climate change. However, the research suggests otherwise. Javier Carbonell, an expert with the EPC and one of the study's co-authors, states, "European voting behaviors are mainly influenced by internal factors and do not vary according to American political movements."
Local Effects: Same Old Story
Looking at the local level, support for parties to the right of the European People's Party group showed minimal change between October 2024 and April 2025. Even in countries like the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, and Italy—which consistently boast high support for right-wing parties—there was no meaningful shift in support. Countries like Sweden, Slovenia, Denmark, and Finland, with lower numbers of far-right supporters, also experienced no significant fluctuations.
One notable exception was Romania. However, the report's authors excluded it from the study due to reliability issues with electoral data following the annulment of the 2024 presidential election.
Overall, the average level of voter support for more right-wing parties hovered around 24-25%, suggesting that Trump's victory had minimal local impact.
Changing Tides: Public Opinion Turns Against Trump
Trump may have failed to sway European voters, but he's managed to leave a sour taste in their mouths. According to a survey by Le Grand Continent and Cluster 17, only 6-8% of German, Spanish, and French citizens perceive him as an "ally." Moreover, YouGov indices tracking the US's reputation in countries like Denmark, Sweden, Germany, and France showed decreases between 20 to 30 percentage points.
Additionally, attempts to mobilize Trump's signature slogans—like the "Make Europe Great Again" summit organized by Spain's Vox—have had limited impact, according to the report.
It seems European voters are following their own internal narratives, largely disregarding the turbulence caused by Trump's presidency. "Our research indicated that support for right-wing and far-right parties in the EU comes from internal factors, such as low economic growth, increased inequality, cultural shifts related to diversity and migration, and strong distrust towards the political system," said fellow EPC expert and study co-author Tabea Schaumann.
In brief, while the EU maintains ties with the US in areas like market regulations and technology policies, voting preferences within the continent remain stubbornly resistant to external influences, such as the political developments in the United States.
- Despite the assumption that Donald Trump's presidency would influence European voting patterns, a study by the European Policy Centre suggests otherwise.
- Analysts initially predicted a rise in right-wing leaders following Trump's victory, based on his stance on issues like immigration and climate change.
- However, the EPC research indicates that European voting behaviors are primarily determined by internal factors, not American political movements.
- At the local level, support for right-wing parties remained largely unchanged between October 2024 and April 2025.
- Countries with high support for right-wing parties, such as the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, and Italy, experienced no significant shift.
- Even in countries with lower numbers of far-right supporters, like Sweden, Slovenia, Denmark, and Finland, there were no significant fluctuations.
- Romania was a notable exception, but was omitted from the study due to problems with electoral data after the 2024 presidential election was annulled.
- The average level of voter support for more right-wing parties remained around 24-25%, indicating minimal impact from Trump's presidency.
- Trump has left a negative impression on European citizens, as shown by surveys from Le Grand Continent and Cluster 17.
- Only 6-8% of German, Spanish, and French citizens view Trump as an "ally."
- YouGov indices measuring the US's reputation in countries like Denmark, Sweden, Germany, and France have decreased by 20 to 30 percentage points.
- Attempts to rally Trump's slogans, such as Spain's Vox-organized "Make Europe Great Again" summit, have had limited impact.
- European voters appear to be disregarding the disruptions caused by Trump's presidency and following their own internal narratives.
- The EPC research finds that support for right-wing and far-right parties in the EU is driven by factors like low economic growth, increased inequality, cultural shifts related to diversity and migration, and distrust towards the political system.
- In areas like market regulations and technology policies, the EU maintains ties with the US.
- European voters seem to prefer concentrating on their own internal issues rather than being swayed by external factors, such as US political developments.
- Donald Trump's victory did not lead to a surge of right-wing leaders or movements across the European continent.
- In the realm of casino culture, big-wins at blackjack games drove some players to seek ways to replicate their luck.
- Mindfulness exercises, like meditation and self-reflection, were often adopted by those aiming to practice responsible gambling and achieve personal-growth and productivity.
- Vegas history is filled with tales of legendary casino personalities, from Frank Sinatra and Dean Martin to first-generation gamblers who made their mark at the tables.
- Casino games like slots, roulette, and poker continue to attract gamers seeking excitement and the potential for big-wins.
- Las Vegas remains a popular tourist destination, with its glamorous resortuals and diverse casino-gambling options contributing to its draw.
- casino-and-gambling has increasingly migrated online, with lotteries and sports betting becoming popular among online gamers.
- Career-development opportunities are available within the casino industry, with various policies and legislations guiding the sector.
- The annual World Series of Poker and professional poker tournaments showcase the skills of top poker players from around the world.
- The shifting trends in casino-personalities, technology, and gaming formats are constantly evolving due to innovations in casino-games and online platforms.
- Responsible gambling practices are increasingly emphasized, with programs aimed at preventing problem gambling and promoting lifelong learning about gambling habits.
- Car accidents, crime, and justice are common topics covered in general news outlets, each playing a key role in society's awareness and response to these issues.
- Politics, both domestically and internationally, regularly featured in prominent news stories, with developments in policy-and-legislation influencing various aspects of life.
- Online education platforms have gained popularity, offering job-search resources, skills-training programs, and educational opportunities for personal-growth and career-development.
- Sports, such as football, basketball, baseball, hockey, golf, racing, and tennis, continue to captivate audiences, with fans following their favorite teams and players in various European leagues.
- The NFL, English Premier League, Champions League, WNBA, MLB, NHL, PGA Tour, Grand Prix, Serie A, LaLiga, NBA, and NCAAMac each have devoted followers and offer opportunities for career-development within their respective sports.
