Individuals are placing wagers on the identity of the next person President Biden might pardon, resulting in a surge in Fauci's stock value.
In the world of political wagering, the spotlight is currently on three notable figures: Dr. Anthony Fauci, Jim Biden, and Diddy (Sean Combs).
A peer-to-peer online platform called Kalshi and another called Polymarket are offering odds on various political derivatives, including the possibility of legal immunity for Dr. Fauci and a presidential pardon for Diddy and Jim Biden.
As of August 2025, there is no publicly available or credible information indicating that political wagering exchanges Kalshi or Polymarket currently have active betting markets specifically on potential pardons for these individuals. However, the odds for these scenarios are generating significant interest among bettors.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, a key figure in the U.S.'s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, has seen his shares of receiving legal immunity from President Biden trading on Polymarket at implied odds of 14%. Some Republicans allege that Fauci lied to Congress about gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in stopping transmission.
Diddy, a lifelong Democrat and party donor, is facing charges of racketeering, sex trafficking by force, and transportation for purposes of prostitution. Polymarket is offering odds on whether Diddy will be pardoned by the president, with bettors giving him just a 2% shot at winning back his freedom through a presidential pardon.
Jim Biden, the president's brother, has been a topic of discussion in political circles for years. A 2022 profile piece published in The Washington Post described him as a "political wild card." Bettors on Kalshi believe President Joe Biden's oldest brother is primed for a pardon, with shares of Jim Biden receiving a pardon skyrocketing on the platform. The odds of Jim Biden receiving a pardon continue to climb, up 13 points in just 24 hours.
In the past, both President Joe Biden and former President Trump have issued pardons for family members. Biden granted pardons to Jim Biden and some family members, while Trump preemptively pardoned Dr. Fauci. However, these events appear to be historical, not subjects of ongoing political betting markets.
It is important to note that political wager sites focus mainly on elections and broader political outcomes, not individual pardon odds. Interested parties may want to monitor Kalshi and Polymarket directly or through their market listings for real-time updates, as niche political betting market availability can change rapidly.
The article was posted on December 3, 2024, at 11:13h, and was last updated on June 23, 2025, at 08:06h. The author of the article is Devin O'Connor.
In the case of Hunter Biden, his pardon comes just weeks before his scheduled sentencing on gun and tax convictions. The details of his laptop, which was seized by the Justice Department in 2019 and reveals a close relationship between Hunter and his uncle, have not been a focus in the current political betting markets.
As the legal proceedings and political landscape continue to evolve, these betting odds may shift, making it an exciting time for those interested in following these developments.
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- The world of political wagering has Hernandez, Fauci, and Diddy as the main subjects of current interest.
- Kalshi and Polymarket, online platforms for peer-to-peer betting, provide odds for various political derivatives, such as potential pardons for these figures.
- Dr. Anthony Fauci's chances of receiving legal immunity from President Biden, as per Polymarket, are implied at 14%.
- Diddy, with odds of only 2% for a presidential pardon on Polymarket, is facing legal charges related to racketeering, sex trafficking, and transportation for purposes of prostitution.
- As of August 2025, the odds for possible pardons for Diddy, Jim Biden, and Dr. Fauci are generating significant interest among bettors on these platforms.
- Jim Biden's shares of receiving a pardon on Kalshi have surged, with the odds of a pardon climbing by 13 points in just 24 hours.
- Previously, both Presidents Biden and Trump have issued pardons for their respective family members, but there are no ongoing political betting markets specifically on pardon odds for these figures.
- Kalshi and Polymarket focus primarily on elections and broader political outcomes in their betting markets.
- Political pardon odds may change as legal proceedings and political landscapes evolve, making it an intriguing time for those following these developments closely.
- The article, "Political Wagering: Fauci, Diddy, and Jim Biden Odds in Focus," was written by Devin O'Connor and updated on June 23, 2025.
- For real-time updates on niche political betting markets, individuals can monitor Kalshi and Polymarket directly or through their market listings, as market availability can change rapidly.
