Kamala Harris Leads Preferred Candidate List Among Baltic States' Residents
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Preference of Baltic Citizens Towards Harris as US President, According to Recent Survey Results
A recent survey by pollster Kantar Emor shows a preference for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the upcoming US presidential election among residents of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.
The polling firm looked into the voting preferences and sentiments of Baltic citizens regarding the upcoming US election. About half (49%) of respondents in Estonia, 50% in Latvia, and a whopping 70% in Lithuania expressed support for Harris. In comparison, around 30% of Estonian and Latvian respondents remained neutral, while 25% of Latvians and 20% of Estonians favored Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Interestingly, ethnic Estonians showed a clear preference for Harris, with 66% endorsing her candidacy and 16% supporting Trump. However, among other nationalities, 47% were neutral, with 27% supporting Harris and 25% backing Trump. Aivar Voog, Kantar Emor’s lead researcher, explained that the starker support for Harris in Lithuania could be due to the lower percentage of residents belonging to other nationalities compared to Estonia and Latvia.
Voog also noted that political preferences significantly influenced attitudes towards the presidential candidates. Supporters of the Reform Party generally favored Harris, but preferences among three other parties varied. For instance, 70% of EKRE and Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives supported Trump, while Center Party supporters tended to prefer Trump over Harris. Contrastingly, supporters of Isamaa, a conservative party, overwhelmingly favored Harris.
The survey also found that half of the respondents in all three Baltic countries believe Harris will win the election. Around one-fifth backed Trump, while fewer still thought the election wouldn't impact their country’s economy, trade, or peace (less than 5%).
Regarding US aid to Ukraine, the majority in Estonia (48%), Latvia (43%), and Lithuania (49%) confirmed that assistance should be increased. National differences were observed, with ethnic Estonians supporting aid increase (61%) and non-ethnic respondents favoring a reduction (41%).
Residents across the Baltic states generally agreed that the US presidential election would affect their country’s economy, trade, and peace. They believed that the US’s global position would weaken if Trump were elected, while it would remain strong or strengthen under Harris's presidency.
The data is based on an online survey conducted between September 19 to 26, with a total of 3,160 respondents aged 16 and over from Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.
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- People in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have shown a preference for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the upcoming US presidential election, according to a survey by pollster Kantar Emor.
- In Estonia, 49% of residents support Harris, with 30% remaining neutral and 25% backing Republican candidate Donald Trump.
- In Latvia, 50% of respondents support Harris, while 30% remain neutral and 25% favor Trump.
- In Lithuania, an impressive 70% of residents expressed their support for Harris, while 25% backed Trump and 5% remained neutral.
- Ethnic Estonians showed a clear preference for Harris, with 66% endorsing her candidacy, and 16% supporting Trump.
- Among other nationalities in Estonia, 47% were neutral, with 27% supporting Harris and 25% backing Trump.
- Aivar Voog, Kantar Emor’s lead researcher, attributed the stronger support for Harris in Lithuania to the lower percentage of residents belonging to other nationalities.
- Political preferences significantly influenced voting choices in the Baltic states, with supporters of the Reform Party generally favoring Harris.
- Supporters of three other parties varied in their preferences, with EKRE and Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives supporting Trump, while Center Party supporters leaned towards Trump over Harris.
- Isamaa supporters overwhelmingly favored Harris.
- Half of the respondents in all three Baltic countries believe that Harris will win the election, with around one-fifth backing Trump.
- Fewer than 5% of respondents thought the election wouldn't impact their country’s economy, trade, or peace.
- The majority in Estonia (48%), Latvia (43%), and Lithuania (49%) confirmed that US aid to Ukraine should be increased.
- National differences were observed, with ethnic Estonians supporting an increase in aid (61%) and non-ethnic respondents favoring a reduction (41%).
- Residents across the Baltic states generally agreed that the US presidential election would affect their country’s economy, trade, and peace.
- They believed that the US’s global position would weaken if Trump were elected, while it would remain strong or strengthen under Harris's presidency.
- The survey data is based on an online poll conducted between September 19 to 26, with a total of 3,160 respondents aged 16 and over from Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.
- Kamala Harris's apparent big-wins among Baltic states' residents in this survey are striking when considering war-and-conflicts and US foreign policy, including aid to Ukraine.
- The gambling culture and casino-and-gambling scene in these Baltic countries might also have an impact on the preferences of voters, given the popularity of casino-games, lotteries, and sports-betting.
- Some casino-personalities and sports stars in the Baltic states could potentially influence voting patterns, with figures like Las Vegas-famous poker players impacting the poker scene in the region.
- Sports like football, champions-league, NFL, soccer, WNBA, baseball, hockey, golf, tennis, and basketball could also play a role in shaping voters' preferences, as many people follow these sports intensely.
- In the light of this, one might speculate that champions of European leagues, American football, NBA, Masters, Grand Prix, horse-racing, and even mixed-martial-arts could potentially sway voters.
- Weather conditions and weather-forecasting are crucial topics in the Baltic states, and they might also have an influence on people's voting decisions.
- Some respondents might be concerned about accidents related to auto-racing, which is quite popular in these countries.
- Crime-and-justice issues are undoubtedly important topics as well, with residents looking for a president who can address these concerns responsibly.
- In the end, political policies and policy-and-legislation, as well as general-news coverage on war-and-conflicts, crime-and-justice, and sports might have a more significant impact on electoral outcomes in the Baltic states than one might initially assume.
- Economic concerns, such as economic growth, migration, and employment, are likely to be key factors in determining voters' preferences in the upcoming election.
- Lithuania's apparent stronger support for Harris could be attributed to factors not directly related to US politics, such as gambling trends, sports culture, weather concerns, or even local politics in the country.
- The survey results indicate that the US presidential election is not just a domestic concern for Americans, but also an important issue for people in the Baltic states, with significant implications for their country’s economy, trade, and peace.
