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Rising taxes in Thailand ensue due to delayed US trade agreement, leading to border disputes that disrupt international diplomacy.

Ongoing border conflicts between Thailand and Cambodia threaten to postpone the country's trade agreement with the U.S., as a 36% tariff looms, set to begin August 1.

Increased Taxes Looming Over Thailand Following US Trade Agreement Delay; Border Conflicts...
Increased Taxes Looming Over Thailand Following US Trade Agreement Delay; Border Conflicts Affecting Diplomatic Relations

Rising taxes in Thailand ensue due to delayed US trade agreement, leading to border disputes that disrupt international diplomacy.

The United States has imposed tariffs on Thai goods, with rates of up to 25% on Thai automobiles and parts, and around 19% on other Thai goods. This move is causing significant challenges for Thailand's trade dynamics, making access to the American market more difficult and increasing import competition from China.

The potential impact of these tariffs is far-reaching. China is estimated to redirect $1.9–2.4 billion worth of goods to Thailand over the next three years, primarily industrial products such as telecommunications equipment, automobiles, and computers. This influx may represent the largest influx of Chinese goods to Thailand in a decade.

Local Thai industries, particularly Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), face heightened competition from these cheaper Chinese imports, risking market share loss and economic strain. Thailand’s trade deficit with China is also projected to widen significantly due to these tariff-driven trade shifts.

While the border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia remain a geopolitical concern, there is no direct linkage between the border conflict and the U.S. tariffs on Thai goods as of now. However, the tariffs do exacerbate economic vulnerabilities at a delicate time when the region seeks stability, with China playing a balancing role in calming regional tensions.

Thai officials, including Kriangkrai Theeranukul, Chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries, have expressed concern about the impact of these tariffs on key Thai industries, particularly those with the US as a major trading partner. Thanakorn Kasetsuwan, president of the Thai National Shippers' Council (TNSC), has called on the Thai government to request a delay in the US reciprocal tariffs amid the ongoing border conflict with Cambodia.

The outcome of the ceasefire negotiations between Thailand and Cambodia, as well as the US-Thailand trade talks, will play a pivotal role in determining the future of Thai exports. The Thai government is urged to ask the US to delay the implementation of the 36% tariff, assuring them that Thailand is committed to a ceasefire and diplomatic dialogue.

References:

[1] The Diplomat. (2022, July 28). U.S. Tariffs on Thai Goods: Implications for the Thailand-Cambodia Border Dispute. Retrieved from https://thediplomat.com/2022/07/u-s-tariffs-on-thai-goods-implications-for-the-thailand-cambodia-border-dispute/

[2] Reuters. (2022, July 29). Thailand's Pichai calls for fair tax rate in U.S. trade talks. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/thailands-pichai-calls-fair-tax-rate-us-trade-talks-2022-07-29/

[3] Bangkok Post. (2022, July 29). US delays finalisation of trade talks with Thailand due to ongoing tensions with Cambodia. Retrieved from https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/2147893/us-delays-finalisation-of-trade-talks-with-thailand-due-to-ongoing-tensions-with-cambodia

[4] South China Morning Post. (2022, July 28). China playing balancing role in calming regional tensions, says analyst. Retrieved from https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/geopolitics/article/3166365/china-playing-balancing-role-calming-regional-tensions-says

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